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A New Index to Measure U.S. Financial Conditions

Metadata Updated: December 18, 2024

An index that can be used to gauge broad financial conditions and assess how these conditions are related to future economic growth. The index is broadly consistent with how the FRB/US model generally relates key financial variables to economic activity. The index aggregates changes in seven financial variables: the federal funds rate, the 10-year Treasury yield, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate, the triple-B corporate bond yield, the Dow Jones total stock market index, the Zillow house price index, and the nominal broad dollar index using weights implied by the FRB/US model and other models in use at the Federal Reserve Board. These models relate households' spending and businesses' investment decisions to changes in short- and long-term interest rates, house and equity prices, and the exchange value of the dollar, among other factors. These financial variables are weighted using impulse response coefficients (dynamic multipliers) that quantify the cumulative effects of unanticipated permanent changes in each financial variable on real gross domestic product (GDP) growth over the subsequent year. The resulting index is named Financial Conditions Impulse on Growth (FCI-G). One appealing feature of the FCI-G is that its movements can be used to measure whether financial conditions have tightened or loosened, to summarize how changes in financial conditions are associated with real GDP growth over the following year, or both.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

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Dates

Metadata Created Date December 18, 2024
Metadata Updated Date December 18, 2024

Metadata Source

Harvested from Federal Reserve

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date December 18, 2024
Metadata Updated Date December 18, 2024
Publisher Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Maintainer
Identifier FRBC0002
Data Last Modified R/P1M
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 920:00
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Harvest Object Id d1f4505d-2b13-4357-997b-15e030bdda5b
Harvest Source Id ed4f9073-f069-4049-8ee0-17ff5c98cd46
Harvest Source Title Federal Reserve
Homepage URL https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/a-new-index-to-measure-us-financial-conditions-20230630.html
Program Code 920:000
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash db1e948b1fcf77d7b0699c9baa6d9841dab087a90cef7a1ffc56e9cad3610096
Source Schema Version 1.1

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