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:[[Image:HMMKalmanFilterDerivation.png|463-239|Hidden Markov Model]]
Because of the Markov assumption, the probability of the current true state
:<math>p(\textbf{x}_k|\textbf{x}
Similarly, the measurement at the ''k''-th timestep is dependent only upon the current state,
:<math>p(\textbf{z}_k|\textbf{x}
Using these assumptions the probability distribution over all states of the HMM can be written simply as:
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