Talk:Leap second: Difference between revisions

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Keeping an eye on Earth's Omega: All leap seconds before 2037 will be positive.
 
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Any objections? --[[User:John Maynard Friedman|John Maynard Friedman]] ([[User talk:John Maynard Friedman|talk]]) 21:57, 1 November 2019 (UTC)
 
:I read the reference at [2] and don't see any mention of climatic events affecting Earth's rotation. Are you sure they have a measurable contribution? [[Special:Contributions/31.168.44.122|31.168.44.122]] ([[User talk:31.168.44.122|talk]]) 08:39, 22 December 2024 (UTC)
::The debate about the lead finished some time ago but, since you raised the point, here is a recent reference: [https://www.nhm.ac.uk/discover/news/2024/march/climate-change-causing-days-get-longer-slowing-down-earth.html Climate change is causing days to get longer by slowing down the Earth] (Natural History Museum). It is the effect seen when an ice-skater spins on the spot with arms up v. outstretched.--[[User:JMF|𝕁𝕄𝔽]] ([[User talk:JMF|talk]]) 13:01, 22 December 2024 (UTC)
:::"It's an ill wind" etc. The article needed to be updated with that info, which I have now done. So thank you for raising it. --[[User:JMF|𝕁𝕄𝔽]] ([[User talk:JMF|talk]]) 16:02, 22 December 2024 (UTC)
 
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:The continual acceleration is not evident to me. It seems more like randomness. Perhaps you can explain so I can understand. [[User:John Sauter|John Sauter]] ([[User talk:John Sauter|talk]]) 11:54, 7 April 2024 (UTC)
:: Mr. Sauter, please let me express my thanks for you replied my message and more for you stated your view. I agree, it is a long-term random acceleration. With regards and friendship, G. Theodosiou, The Straw Man, [[User:Georges T.|Georges T.]] ([[User talk:Georges T.|talk]]) 13:51, 8 April 2024 (UTC)
 
Let me explain my prognosis, Ladies and Gentlemen, for leap seconds up to 2037. I notice short-term accelerations and decelerations in the earth's Δomega signal, irregularities according to Dr. Bizourd IERS/EOC Directior, randomness according to Dr. Sauter, and noise according to DSP jargon. They are unable to undermine my forecast. In fact, it will be discouraged if a new long-term acceleration appears. With regards and friendship, G. Theodosiou, The Straw Man, [[User:Georges T.|Georges T.]] ([[User talk:Georges T.|talk]]) 09:07, 11 May 2024 (UTC)
 
Ladies, Gentlemen, permit me to briefly describe my current observations regarding Earth's omega. 1) In [https://hpiers.obspm.fr/eop-pc/products/combined/C04plottest.php?date=2&dimx=1200&dimy=900&graphe=55&year1=1962&month1=1&day1=1&year2=2031&month2=12&day2=31&langue=1&SUBMIT=Submit+request this] plot I observe 3 (1963-2023) metonic periods. 2) The increasing slope of Omega's digital signal indicates long-term acceleration. 3) This acceleration is weaker than that of decelerating metonic semi-periods. 4) In the time being decelerating semi-period is active 5) For the most part, it turns negative <ins>causing positive leap seconds (10 January 2025) 6) [https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-d&q=The+year+2035+for+eliminating+leap+seconds+was+chosen+considering+Russia%27s+request+to+extend+the+timeline+to+2040%2C+ The year 2035 for eliminating leap seconds was chosen considering Russia's request to extend the timeline to 2040]. The next peak of the metonic period will occur in 2040. Russia's request will undoubtedly require a negative leap second before the end of the next decade if the ITU grants it (17 January 2025)</ins>. With regards and friendship, Georges Theodosiou, the Straw Man, [[User:Georges T.|Georges T.]] ([[User talk:Georges T.|talk]]) 16:05, 9 January 2025 (UTC)
 
===A useful page of links to the future of leap seconds===