A '''monetary policy reaction function''' describes how a [[central bank]] systematically adjusts its [[Central bank#Policy instruments|policy instruments]] in response to changes in economic conditions. This function provides a framework for understanding how central banks make policy decisions based on observable economic indicators.
{{Orphan|date=February 2009}}
''' The Monetary Policy Reaction Function (MPRF)''' is the upward-sloping relationship between the [[inflation rate]] and the [[unemployment rate]]. When the [[inflation rate]] rises, a [[central bank]] wishing to fight [[inflation]] will raise [[interest rates]] to reduce output and thus increase the [[unemployment rate]].
The MPRF is a function of the''[[Taylor Rule]]'', the ''[[IS curve]]'', and ''[[Okun's Law]]''
==Examples==
The MPRF has the equation:
The most influential reaction function is the [[Taylor rule]], developed by economist John Taylor in 1993. The rule provides a systematic formula for setting the [[nominal interest rate]] based on four key variables: The deviation of current [[inflation rate]] from the central bank's target; The current [[inflation rate]] itself; The equilibrium [[real interest rate]]; and the [[output gap]], measured as the percentage difference between actual [[GDP]] and [[potential output]].
'''u = u<sub>0</sub> + Φ(π - πt)
'''
An alternative formulation of the monetary policy reaction function was proposed by [[Ben Bernanke]] and [[Robert H. Frank]].<ref>Bernanke, Ben, and Frank, Robert. ''Principles of Economics'', 3rd edition.</ref> Their simplified version describes a positive relationship between the [[real interest rate]] and the [[inflation rate]], where central banks respond to rising inflation by increasing real interest rates:
Where Φ is a parameter that tells us how much unemployment rises when the [[central bank]] raises the [[real interest rate]] ''r'' because it thinks that [[inflation]] is too high and needs to be reduced.
where
<!-- Unsourced image removed: [[Image:PCMPmaster.GIF]] -->
:r * = long-runcurrent target for the real interest rate<br /> ▼
'''
π:r* = long-run target for the inflationreal rate<brinterest />rate<br /> ▼
The Slope''' of the MPRF is:
:g = constant term (or the slope of the MPRF)<br /> ▼
'''1/Φ'''
:π = actual inflation rate<br /> ▼
:π* = long-run target for the inflation rate
This linear relationship provides a more straightforward framework compared to the multi-variable Taylor rule, though it captures fewer economic factors.
== References ==
The MPRF is used hand in hand with the [[Phillips Curve]] to determine the effects of [[economic policy]]. This framework illustrates [[Underemployment equilibrium|equilibrium]] levels of the [[unemployment rate]] and the [[inflation rate]] in a [[sticky-price model]].
{{Reflist}}
<br /><br /><br /><br />
{{Central banks}}
Alternatively, in Ben Bernanke and Robert Frank's [http://catalogs.mhhe.com/mhhe/viewProductDetails.do?isbn=0073230596 Principles of Economics] textbook, '''the MPRF is a model of the Fed's interest rate behavior'''. In its most simple form, the MPRF is an upward-sloping relationship between the real interest rate and the inflation rate. The following is an example of an MPRF from the third edition of the textbook:<br /><br />
[[Category:Monetary economicspolicy]] ▼
r = target real interest rate (or actual real interest rate)<br />
▲r* = long-run target for the real interest rate<br />
▲g = constant term (or the slope of the MPRF)<br />
▲π = actual inflation rate<br />
▲π* = long-run target for the inflation rate<br /><br />
Of course, the MPRF above is just one example, and there are other examples (such as the [http://www.stanford.edu/~johntayl/Papers/Discretion.PDF Taylor Rule]) that are more complex.
The following graph (from the [http://econblog.aplia.com/2007/10/monetary-policy-reaction-function.html?showComments=false Aplia Econ Blog]) shows the simple MPRF with the real interest rate on the Y-axis and the inflation rate on the X-axis. Assume a 3% actual and long-run target inflation rate.
<!-- Commented out because image was deleted: [[Image:Mprf.png]] -->
[[Category:Macroeconomics]]
▲[[Category:Monetary economics]]
|