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In [[queueing theory]], a discipline within the mathematical [[probability theory|theory of probability]], '''Buzen's algorithm''' (or '''convolution algorithm''') is an algorithm for calculating the [[normalization constant]] G(''N'') in the [[Gordon–Newell theorem]]. This method was first proposed by [[Jeffrey P. Buzen]] in his 1971 PhD dissertation<ref name=":0">{{Cite book |last=Buzen, J.P. |url=http://archive.org/details/DTIC_AD0731575 |title=DTIC AD0731575: Queueing Network Models of Multiprogramming |date=1971-08-01 |language=english}}</ref> and subsequently published in a refereed journal in 1973.<ref name="buzen-1973">{{
Performing a naïve computation of the
==Problem setup==
Consider a closed queueing network with ''M'' service facilities and ''N'' circulating customers.
Let <math>\mathbb P(n_1,n_2,\cdots,n_M) </math> be the steady state probability that the number of customers at service facility ''i'' is equal to ''n<sub>i</sub>'' for ''i'' = 1, 2, ... , ''M .'' It follows from the [[Gordon–Newell theorem]] that
::<math>\mathbb P(n_1,n_2,\cdots,n_M) = \frac{1}{\text{G}(N)}\prod_{i=1}^M \left( X_i \right)^{n_i}</math>▼
where the ''X''<sub>''i''</sub> are found by solving▼
::<math>\mu_j X_j = \sum_{i=1}^M \mu_i X_i p_{ij}\quad\text{ for }j=1,\ldots,N.</math>▼
<math>\mathbb P(n_1,n_2,\cdots,n_M) = \frac{1}{\text{G}(N)}</math><math> \left( X_1 \right)^{n_1}</math><math> \left( X_2 \right)^{n_2}</math> .... <math> \left( X_M \right)^{n_M}</math>
This result is usually written more compactly as
▲
''G''(''N'') is a normalizing constant chosen so that the sum of all <math>\tbinom{N+M-1}{M-1}</math> values of <math>\mathbb P(n_1,n_2,\cdots,n_M) </math> is equal to 1. Buzen's algorithm represents the first efficient procedure for computing G(''N'').<ref name="buzen-1973" /><ref name=":1" />
==Algorithm description==
The individual terms that must be added together to compute G(''N'') all have the following form:
<math> \left( X_1 \right)^{n_1}</math><math> \left( X_2 \right)^{n_2}</math> .... <math> \left( X_M \right)^{n_M}</math>. Note that this set of terms can be partitioned into two groups. The first group comprises all terms for which the exponent of <math> \left( X_M \right)</math> is greater than or equal to 1. This implies that <math> \left( X_M \right)</math> raised to the power 1 can be factored out of each of these terms.
After factoring out <math> \left( X_M \right)</math>, a surprising result emerges: the modified terms in the first group are identical to the terms used to compute the normalizing constant for the same network with one customer removed. Thus, the sum of the terms in the first group can be written as “''X''<sub>''M''</sub> times G(''N'' -1)”. This insight provides the foundation for the development of the algorithm.<ref name=":1" />
Next consider the second group. The exponent of ''X''<sub>''M''</sub> for every term in this group is zero. As a result, service facility ''M'' effectively disappears from all terms in this group (since it reduces in every case to a factor of 1). This leaves the total number of customers at the remaining ''M'' -1 service facilities equal to ''N''. The second group includes all possible arrangements of these N customers.
To express this concept precisely, assume that ''X<sub>1</sub>, X<sub>2</sub>, … X<sub>M</sub>'' have been obtained for a given network with ''M'' service facilities. For any ''n'' ≤ ''N'' and m ≤ ''M,'' define g(''n,m'') as the normalizing constant for a network with ''n'' customers, ''m'' service facilities (1,2, … ''m''), and values of ''X<sub>1</sub>, X<sub>2</sub>, … X<sub>m</sub>'' that match the first ''m'' members of the original sequence ''X<sub>1</sub>, X<sub>2</sub>, … X<sub>M</sub>'' .
Given this definition, the sum of the terms in the second group can now be written as g(''N'', ''M'' -1).
It also follows immediately that “''X<sub>M</sub>'' times G(''N'' -1)”, the sum of the terms in the first group, can be re-written as “''X<sub>M</sub>'' times g(''N'' -1,''M'' )”.
In addition, the normalizing constant G(''N'') in the Gordon-Newell theorem can now be re-written as g(''N'',''M'').
Since G(''N'') is equal to the combined sum of the terms in the first and second groups,
G(''N'') = g(''N'', ''M'' ) = ''X<sub>M</sub>'' g(''N'' -1,''M'' ) + g(''N'',''M'' -1)
This same recurrence relation clearly exists for any intermediate value of ''n'' from 1 to ''N'', and for any intermediate value of ''m'' from 1 to ''M'' .
This implies g(''n,m'') = ''X<sub>m</sub>'' g(''n'' -1,''m'') + g(''n,m'' -1). Buzen’s algorithm is simply the iterative application of this fundamental recurrence relation, along with the following boundary conditions.
g(0,''m'') = 1 for ''m'' = 1, 2, …''M''
g(''n'',1) = (''X''<sub>i</sub>)<sup>''n''</sup> for ''n'' = 0, 1, … ''N''
==Marginal distributions, expected number of customers==
The Gordon-Newell theorem enables analysts to determine the stationary probability associated with each individual state of a closed queueing network. These individual probabilities must then be added together to evaluate other important probabilities. For example P(''n<sub>i</sub>'' ≥ ''k''), the probability that the total number of customers at service center ''i'' is greater than or equal to ''k'', must be summed over all values of ''n<sub>i</sub>'' ≥ ''k'' and, for each such value of ''n<sub>i</sub>'', over all possible ways the remaining ''N'' – ''n<sub>i</sub>'' customers can be distributed across the other ''M'' -1 service centers in the network.
The coefficients g(''n'',''m''), computed using Buzen's algorithm, can also be used to compute [[marginal distribution]]s and [[expected value|expected]] number of customers at each node.▼
::<math>\mathbb P(n_i = k) = \frac{X_i^k}{G(N)}[G(N-k) - X_i G(N-k-1)]\quad\text{ for }k=0,1,\ldots,N-1.</math>▼
Many of these marginal probabilities can be computed with minimal additional effort. This is easy to see for the case of P(''n<sub>i</sub>'' ≥ k). Clearly, ''X<sub>i</sub>'' must be raised to the power of ''k'' or higher in every state where the number of customers at service center ''i'' is greater than or equal to ''k''. Thus ''X<sub>i</sub> <sup>k</sup>'' can be factored out from each of these probabilities, leaving a set of modified probabilities whose sum is given by G(''N''-k)/G(''N''). This observation yields the following simple and highly efficient result:
::<math>\mathbb P(n_i = N) = \frac{X_i^N}{G(N)}[G(0)].</math>▼
the expected number of customers at facility ''i'' by▼
P(''n<sub>i</sub>'' ≥ ''k'') = (''X<sub>i</sub>'')<sup>''k''</sup> G(''N''-''k'')/G(''N'')
::<math>\mathbb E(n_i) = \sum_{k=1}^N X_i^k \frac{G(N-k)}{G(N)}.</math>▼
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These characterizations of quantities of interest in terms of the G(''n'') are also due to Buzen.<ref name="buzen-1973"/>
==Implementation==
It will be assumed that the ''X<sub>m</sub>'' have been computed by solving the relevant equations and are available as an input to our routine. Although g(''
The first loop in the algorithm below initializes the column vector C[n] so that C[0] = 1 and C(n) = 0 for n≥1. Note that C[0] remains equal to 1 throughout all subsequent iterations.
<source lang="pascal">▼
In the second loop, each successive value of C(n) for n≥1 is set equal to the corresponding value of g(''n,m)'' as the algorithm proceeds down column m. This is achieved by setting each successive value of C(n) equal to:
g(''n,m-1'') plus ''X<sub>m</sub>'' times g(''n-1,m'').
Note that g(''n,m-1'') is the previous value of C(n), and g(''n-1,m'') is the current value of C(n-1)
C[0] := 1
for n := 1 step 1 until N do
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for m := 1 step 1 until M do
for n := 1 step 1 until N do
C[n] := C[n] + X[m]*C[n-1];
</syntaxhighlight>
At completion, the final values of C[n] correspond to column ''
==References==
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{{reflist}}
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{{Queueing theory}}
[[Category:Queueing theory]]
[[Category:Statistical algorithms]]
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