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The [[Scientific wager|wager]] was proposed by Benkler in July 2006 in a comment to a blog post where Carr criticized Benkler's views about volunteer peer-production. Benkler believed that by 2011 the major sites would have content provided by volunteers in what Benkler calls [[commons-based peer production]], as in [[Wikipedia]], [[reddit]], [[Flickr]] and [[YouTube]]. Carr argued that the trend would favor content provided by paid workers, as in most traditional news outlets.<ref>{{cite news |first= Charles |last= Arthur |title=What is the Carr-Benkler wager? |url=https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2006/aug/03/guardianweeklytechnologysection |work=[[The Guardian]] |date= 2006-08-03 |access-date=2008-08-27 |___location=London}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |first=Justin |last=Fox |title=Getting Rich off Those Who Work for Free. |url=http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1590440-1,00.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070220114321/http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0%2C9171%2C1590440-1%2C00.html |url-status=dead |archive-date=February 20, 2007 |publisher=[[Time (magazine)|Time]] |date=February 15, 2007 |access-date=2007-03-03 }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |first=Nicholas |last=Carr |author-link=Nicholas G. Carr |title=Calacanis's wallet and the Web 2.0 dream. |date=19 July 2006 |url=http://www.roughtype.com/archives/2006/07/jason_calacanis.php |access-date=2007-10-24}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | first=Yochai |last=Benkler |author-link=Yochai Benkler |title=Benkler on Calacanis's wallet. |date=28 July 2006 |url=http://www.roughtype.com/archives/2006/07/benkler_on_cala.php |access-date=2007-11-05}}</ref>
In May 2012 Carr resurrected the discussion, arguing that he had clearly won the wager, pointing out that the most popular blogs and online videos at that time were corporate productions.<ref>{{cite web |first= Nicholas|last= Carr |title=Pay Up, Yochai |date= May 2012 |url=http://www.roughtype.com/archives/2012/05/pay_up_yochai_b_3.php |access-date=2012-05-06}}</ref> Benkler replied with a rebuttal shortly after,<ref>{{cite web |first= Benkler |last= Yochai |title=Carr-Benkler Wager Revisited |url=http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/ybenkler/2012/05/07/on-the-carr-benkler-wager/ |access-date=2012-05-06}}</ref> arguing that the only way Carr could be seen to have won is if social software was considered as commercial content. [[Gigaom]] writer Matthew Ingram stated that "Benkler has clearly won. While there are large corporate entities with profit-oriented motives involved in the web, a group that includes Facebook and Twitter, the bulk of the value that is produced in those networks and services comes from the free behavior of crowds of users."<ref>{{Cite news |url = https://gigaom.com/2012/05/09/the-carr-benkler-wager-and-the-peer-powered-economy/ |archive-url = https://archive.today/20141130075223/https://gigaom.com/2012/05/09/the-carr-benkler-wager-and-the-peer-powered-economy/ |url-status = dead |archive-date = November 30, 2014 |title=The Carr-Benkler wager and the peer-powered economy |last = Ingram |first=Matthew |date = May 9, 2012 |work = Gigaom |access-date = November 29, 2014}}</ref>
== Analysis ==
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