Wind power forecasting: Difference between revisions

Revision as of 02:21, 10 October 2021

Revision as of 02:22, 10 October 2021

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==General methodology==

Several techniques ov various degree of sophistication are used for short-term prediction of wind generation{{sfn|Hanifi|2020|p=3766}}{{sfn|Hanifi|2020|pp=3766-3771}}:

* ''persistence'' method is trivial: assume that the wind power in the next time interval will stay the same as the current measured instantaneous power. Forecast efficiency naturally quickly deteriorates with time going forward, and typically this method is used as a base-level set of numbers for the predictions of other methods to be compared against;

* physical methods;