Delphi method: Difference between revisions

Revision as of 00:46, 19 October 2023

Revision as of 00:49, 19 October 2023

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* the involvement of a large number of participants,

* the use of two or more panels representing different groups (such as policy-makers, experts, citizens), which the administrator can give tasks reflecting their diverse roles and expertise, and make them to interact within ad hoc communication structures. For example, the ''policy community'' members (policy-makers and experts) may interact as part of the ''main conference'' panel, while they receive inputs from a ''virtual community'' (citizens, associations etc.) involved in a ''side conference''. These web-based variable communication structures, which he calls ''Hyperdelphi'' (HD), are designed to make Delphi conferences "more fluid and adapted to the hypertextual and interactive nature of digital communication".

One successful example of a (partially) web-based policy Delphi is the five-round Delphi exercise (with 1,454 contributions) for the creation of the [[eLAC Action Plans]] in Latin America. It is believed to be the most extensive online participatory policy-making foresight exercise in the history of intergovernmental processes in the developing world at this time.<ref name="HilbertMilesOthmer2009"/> In addition to the specific policy guidance provided, the authors list the following lessons learned include: "(1) the potential of Policy Delphi methods to introduce transparency and accountability into public decision-making, especially in developing countries; (2) the utility of foresight exercises to foster multi-agency networking in the development community; (3) the usefulness of embedding foresight exercises into established mechanisms of representative democracy and international multilateralism, such as the United Nations; (4) the potential of online tools to facilitate participation in resource-scarce developing countries; and (5) the resource-efficiency stemming from the scale of international foresight exercises, and therefore its adequacy for resource-scarce regions."<ref name="HilbertMilesOthmer2009"/>

=== Use in health settings ===