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== Motivation ==
DCM was developed for (and is applied principally to) estimating the coupling among brain regions and how that coupling is influenced by experimental changes (e.g., time or context). The basic idea is to construct reasonably realistic models of interacting brain regions
== Procedure ==
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# Compare the evidence for the models using Bayesian Model Comparison, at the single-subject or group level, and inspect the parameters of the model(s).
Each of these steps is briefly reviewed below.
Dynamic Causal Models (DCMs) are nonlinear state-space models in continuous time that model the dynamics of hidden states in the nodes of a probabilistic graphical model, where conditional dependencies are parameterised in terms of directed effective connectivity. Unlike [[Bayesian network|Bayesian Networks]] the networks used in DCM can be cyclic, and unlike [[Structural equation modeling|Structural Equation modelling]] and [[Granger causality]], DCM does not depend on the theory of Martingales, i.e., it does not assume that random fluctuations' are serially uncorrelated.▼
=== Experimental design ===
In functional neuroimaging,
=== Preprocessing ===
=== Model specification ===
▲Dynamic Causal Models (DCMs) are nonlinear state-space models in continuous time that model the dynamics of hidden states in the nodes of a probabilistic graphical model, where conditional dependencies are parameterised in terms of directed effective connectivity. Unlike [[Bayesian network|Bayesian Networks]]
=== Estimation ===
Bayesian inversion furnishes the marginal likelihood (evidence) of the model and the posterior distribution of its parameters (e.g., neuronal coupling strengths). The evidence is used for Bayesian model selection (BMS) to disambiguate between competing models, while the posterior distribution of the parameters is used to characterise the model selected.
=== Model comparison ===
▲In functional neuroimaging, the data may be functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) measurements or electrophysiological (e.g., in magnetoencephalography or electroencephalography; MEG/EEG). Brain responses are evoked by known deterministic inputs (experimentally controlled stimuli) that embody designed changes in sensory stimulation or cognitive set. These experimental or exogenous variables can change hidden states in one of two ways. First, they can elicit responses through direct influences on specific network nodes. This would be appropriate, for example, in modelling sensory evoked responses in the early visual cortex. The second class of inputs exerts their effects vicariously, through a modulation of the coupling among nodes, for example, the influence of attention on the processing of sensory information. The hidden states cover any neurophysiological or biophysical variables needed to form observed outputs. These outputs are measured (hemodynamic or electromagnetic) responses over the sensors considered. Bayesian inversion furnishes the marginal likelihood (evidence) of the model and the posterior distribution of its parameters (e.g., neuronal coupling strengths). The evidence is used for Bayesian model selection (BMS) to disambiguate between competing models, while the posterior distribution of the parameters is used to characterise the model selected.
== DCM for fMRI ==
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