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{{short description|Statistical modeling framework}}
'''Dynamic causal modeling''' ('''DCM''') is a framework for specifying models, fitting them to data and comparing their evidence using [[Bayes factor|Bayesian model comparison]]. It uses nonlinear [[State space|state-space]] models in continuous time, specified using [[Stochastic differential equation|stochastic]] or [[ordinary differential equation]]s. DCM was initially developed for testing hypotheses about [[Dynamical system|neural dynamics]].<ref name="Friston 2003">{{Cite journal|last1=Friston|first1=K.J.|last2=Harrison|first2=L.|last3=Penny|first3=W.|date=August 2003|title=Dynamic causal modelling|journal=NeuroImage|volume=19|issue=4|pages=1273–1302|doi=10.1016/s1053-8119(03)00202-7|pmid=12948688|s2cid=2176588|issn=1053-8119}}</ref> In this setting, differential equations describe the interaction of neural populations, which directly or indirectly give rise to functional neuroimaging data e.g., [[functional magnetic resonance imaging]] (fMRI), [[magnetoencephalography]] (MEG) or [[electroencephalography]] (EEG). Parameters in these models quantify the directed influences or effective connectivity among neuronal populations, which are estimated from the data using [[Bayesian inference|Bayesian]] statistical methods.
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