Content deleted Content added
Removed paragraph about random, relatively low-cited dementia paper being the "often cited" source for applying Delphi method |
BobKilcoyne (talk | contribs) Variations: plural/singular combination |
||
Line 78:
==Variations==
Traditionally the Delphi method has aimed at a consensus of the most probable future by iteration. Other versions, such as the Policy Delphi,<ref>{{cite journal | vauthors = Turoff M | title = The Design of a Policy Delphi | url = http://is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/ch3b1.pdf | journal = Technological Forecasting and Social Change | volume = 2 | issue = 2| date = January 1970 | pages = 149–171 | doi = 10.1016/0040-1625(70)90161-7 }}</ref><ref>{{citation |author= |title=Gazing Into the Oracle: The Delphi Method and Its Application to Social Policy and Public Health |year=1996 | veditors = Adler M, Ziglio E |___location=London |publisher=Kingsley Publishers |isbn=978-1-85302-104-6 }}</ref>
In Europe, more recent web-based experiments have used the Delphi method as a communication technique for interactive [[decision-making]] and [[e-democracy]].<ref>{{cite book |title= Democrazia elettronica. Metodo Delphi e politiche pubbliche | trans-title = Electronic Democracy. Delphi Method and Public Policy-Making |year=2001| vauthors = Bolognini M |language=it |publisher=Carocci Editore |___location=Rome |isbn=978-88-430-2035-5}}. An example of e-democracy application is DEMOS (Delphi Mediation Online System), whose prototype was presented at the 3rd Worldwide Forum on Electronic Democracy, in 2002.</ref>
The Argument Delphi, developed by Osmo Kuusi, focuses on ongoing discussion and finding relevant arguments rather than focusing on the output. The Disaggregative Policy Delphi, developed by Petri Tapio, uses cluster analysis as a systematic tool to construct various scenarios of the future in the latest Delphi round.<ref>{{cite journal | vauthors = Tapio P | year = 2003 | title = Disaggregative Policy Delphi: Using cluster analysis as a tool for systematic scenario formation | journal = Technological Forecasting and Social Change | volume = 70 | issue = 1| pages = 83–101 | doi = 10.1016/S0040-1625(01)00177-9 | s2cid = 53516828 }}</ref> The respondent's view on the probable and the preferable future are dealt with as separate cases. The computerization of Argument Delphi is relatively difficult because of several problems like argument resolution, argument aggregation and argument evaluation. The computerization of Argument Delphi, developed by [[Sadi Evren Seker]], proposes solutions to such problems.<ref>{{cite journal | vauthors = Seker SE | year = 2015 | title = Computerized Argument Delphi Technique | journal = IEEE Access | volume = 3 | issue = 2| pages = 368–380 | doi = 10.1109/ACCESS.2015.2424703 | doi-access = free | bibcode = 2015IEEEA...3..368S }}</ref>
| |||