Power transition theory: Difference between revisions

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Historical application: Ma and Kang analysis
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[[Michael Beckley (political scientist) |Michael Beckley]], writing in 2023, states that conflict between [[great power]]s can happen even when a power transition does not appear to be likely. He argues that rising powers have historically <blockquote>"lashed out when they realized that they would not catch their rivals or achieve their grand ambitions—unless they took drastic action. These peaking power dynamics help explain some of the most consequential geopolitical events of the past 150 years, including the surge of [[U.S. imperialism]] in the late nineteenth century, the outbreak of World War II, and Russia's 2014 [[Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation| annexation of Crimea]] and [[Russo-Ukrainian War | intervention in eastern Ukraine]]."<ref>{{Cite journal |last= Beckley |first=Michael |date= 2023 |title=The Peril of Peaking Powers: Economic Slowdowns and Implications for China's Next Decade |url= https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00463 |journal= International Security|volume=48 |pages=7–46 |doi=10.1162/isec_a_00463 |s2cid=260736779 |doi-access=free }}</ref>
</blockquote>Publishing in 2024, Academics Xinru Ma and David C. Kang write that nearly all of the cases analyzed under power transition theory are post-1820s European cases.<ref name=":Ma&Kang">{{Cite book |last=Ma |first=Xinru |title=Beyond Power Transitions: The Lessons of East Asian History and the Future of U.S.-China Relations |last2=Kang |first2=David C. |date=2024 |publisher=[[Columbia University Press]] |isbn=978-0-231-55597-5 |series=Columbia Studies in International Order and Politics |___location=New York}}</ref>{{Rp|page=6}} They write that this approach creates a Eurocentric "blind spot" and overemphasizes the importance and generalizability of the European and Western historical experience.<ref name=":Ma&Kang" />{{Rp|page=6}} They contend that this "has led to an overexpectation that power transitions are a principal cause for war and that the theory is universally applicable across time and space."<ref name=":Ma&Kang" />{{Rp|page=9}}
 
==See also==