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{{AfDM|page=Probabilistic voting theory|year=2010|month=September|day=23|substed=yes}}
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The '''probabilistic voting theory''', also known as the '''probabilistic voting model''', is a [[voting theory]] developed by [[Assar Lindbeck]] and Jörgen Weibull, 1987, which has gradually replaced the [[median voter theory]], thanks to its ability to find an equilibrium in a multi-dimensional space. This theory represents a break-through in [[political economy]] literature and can be used to solve problems that were impossible to solve before. In fact, unlike the [[median voter theorem]], what drives the equilibrium policy is both the numerosity and the density of social groups and not the median position of voters on a preference scale. This difference explains why social groups which have a great homogeneity of preferences are more politically powerful than those whose preferences are dispersed.