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'''Aggregative Contingent Estimation''' ('''ACE''') is a program of the Office of Incisive Analysis (OIA) at the [[Intelligence Advanced Research Projects
==History==
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The ACE has collaborated with partners who compete in its forecasting tournaments. Their most notable partner is [[The Good Judgment Project]] from [[Philip E. Tetlock]] et al.<ref name=project>{{cite web|url=http://www.goodjudgmentproject.com/about_project.html|title = The Project|publisher = The Good Judgment Project<sup>TM</sup>|accessdate = May 5, 2014}}</ref> (winner of a 2013 ACE tournament)<ref name=washpo>{{cite web|url = http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2013/11/26/good-judgment-in-forecasting-international-affairs-and-an-invitation-for-season-3/|title = Good judgment in forecasting international affairs (and an invitation for season 3)|last = Horowitz|first = Michael|date = November 26, 2013|accessdate = May 5, 2014|publisher = ''[[Washington Post]]''}}</ref> ACE also partnered with the ARA to create the Aggregative Contingent Estimation System (ACES).<ref name=gcn/>
Data from ACE is fed into another program, called Forecasting Science and Technology (ForeST), which partners with [[SciCast]] from [[George Mason University]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iarpa.gov/index.php/research-programs/forest|title = Forecasting Science & Technology (ForeST)|last = Matheny|first = Jason|accessdate = May 6, 2014|publisher = [[Intelligence Advanced Research Projects
==Media coverage==
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