Aggregative Contingent Estimation Program: Difference between revisions

Revision as of 00:59, 13 March 2017

Revision as of 21:11, 23 August 2017

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==Partners==

The ACE has collaborated with partners who compete in its forecasting tournaments. Their most notable partner is [[The Good Judgment Project]] from [[Philip E. Tetlock]] et al.<ref name=project>{{cite web|url=http://www.goodjudgmentproject.com/about_project.html |title=The Project |publisher=The Good Judgment Project^TM |accessdate=May 5, 2014 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20140506201121/http://www.goodjudgmentproject.com/about_project.html |archivedate=May 6, 2014 |df= }}</ref> (winner of a 2013 ACE tournament)<ref name=washpo>{{cite web|url = httphttps://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2013/11/26/good-judgment-in-forecasting-international-affairs-and-an-invitation-for-season-3/|title = Good judgment in forecasting international affairs (and an invitation for season 3)|last = Horowitz|first = Michael|date = November 26, 2013|accessdate = May 5, 2014|publisher = ''[[Washington Post]]''}}</ref> ACE also partnered with the ARA to create the Aggregative Contingent Estimation System (ACES).<ref name=gcn/>

Data from ACE is fed into another program, called Forecasting Science and Technology (ForeST), which partners with [[SciCast]] from [[George Mason University]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iarpa.gov/index.php/research-programs/forest|title = Forecasting Science & Technology (ForeST)|last = Matheny|first = Jason|accessdate = May 6, 2014|publisher = [[Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity]]}}</ref>