Three-point estimation: Difference between revisions

Content deleted Content added
Citation needed removed by refering to PERT distribution article
No edit summary
Line 26:
* Decomposes the project into a list of estimable tasks, i.e. a [[work breakdown structure]]
* Estimates the expected value E(task) and the [[standard error]] SE(task) of this estimate for each task time
* Calculates the expected value for the total project work time as: <math>\operatorname{E}(\text{project}) = \sum{ \operatorname{E}(\text{task})}</math>
* Calculates the value SE(project) for the standard error of the estimated total project work time as: <math> \operatorname{SE}(\text{project}) = \sqrt{\sum{\operatorname{SE}(\text{task})^2}}</math> under the assumption that the project work time estimates are [[correlation|uncorrelated]]
 
The E and SE values are then used to convert the project time estimates to [[confidence interval]]s as follows: