Talk:Probability

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Odds

The person who wrote up odds as currently displayed on the page got it wrong. A 2:1 event is not an event with probability 2/3; it is a 1/3 probability event. The formula a/(a+b) needs to be replaced with b/(a+b) and is probably best illustrated with a reference to gambling.

Theory of errors

Latest comment: 1 year ago2 comments2 people in discussion

I submit that the memoir De erroribus (1823) by C F Gauss should be mentioned. Gauss derives the error functgon connected with his name, from only three assumptions.

(C Lomnitz, Mexico City) — Preceding unsigned comment added by 2409:4070:4d1c:4d1c:f247:6a9d:ab30:6e8b (talk • contribs) 17:11, 29 August 2024 (UTC)Reply

Please put new messages at the bottom and sign all your talk page messages with four tildes (~~~~) — See Help:Using talk pages. Thanks. - DVdm (talk) 17:51, 29 August 2024 (UTC)Reply

Branches of probability

Latest comment: 11 months ago1 comment1 person in discussion

I feel that this page would be clearer if it contained a distinction between the branches of probability termed aleatory (of future events that haven't unfolded yet) and epistemic (resulting from insufficient knowledge). While the mathematics is the same, the implications are quite different.TonyP (talk) 09:35, 6 September 2024 (UTC)Reply