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===Market changes in the US===
After the crash of the [[dot-com bubble]] (1999–2001) and the [[Great Recession]] (2008), many U.S. programmers were left without work or with lower wages.<ref name="bls-dotcom-2009">{{cite journal|last1=Mann|first1=Amar|last2=Nunes|first2=Tony|title=After the Dot-Com Bubble: Silicon Valley High-Tech Employment and Wages in 2001 and 2008|journal=Regional Report, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics|date=August 2009|pages=1–8|url=https://www.bls.gov/opub/btn/archive/after-the-dot-com-bubble-silicon-valley-high-tech-employment-and-wages-in-2001-and-2008.pdf|access-date=13 March 2021|archive-date=18 March 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210318063742/https://www.bls.gov/opub/btn/archive/after-the-dot-com-bubble-silicon-valley-high-tech-employment-and-wages-in-2001-and-2008.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="Charette2013">{{Cite web|url=https://spectrum.ieee.org/the-stem-crisis-is-a-myth|url-access=subscription|title=The STEM Crisis is a Myth|last=Charette|first=Robert N.|date=30 August 2013|website=[[IEEE]]|publisher=IEEE|type=opinion|access-date=7 August 2021|archive-date=7 August 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210807061059/https://spectrum.ieee.org/the-stem-crisis-is-a-myth|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="auto1">{{cite web | url=https://spectrum.ieee.org/electrical-engineer-salary | title=Inflation-Adjusted Income for U.S. Engineers Drops - IEEE Spectrum }}</ref> In addition, enrollment in computer-related degrees and other STEM degrees (STEM attrition)<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/pubsinfo.asp?pubid=2014001rev|title=STEM Attrition: College Students' Paths Into and Out of STEM Fields|date=26 November 2013|website=nces.ed.gov|access-date=13 March 2021|archive-date=18 March 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210318064654/https://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/pubsinfo.asp?pubid=2014001rev|url-status=live}}</ref> in the US has been dropping for years, especially for women,<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://developers.hp.com/public/blog/hp-international-womens-week-women-computer-science-dropping-1980s|title=hp's Developer Portal | HP International Women's Week: Women in Computer Science dropping since 1980s|website=developers.hp.com|access-date=13 March 2021|archive-date=26 February 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210226000310/https://developers.hp.com/public/blog/hp-international-womens-week-women-computer-science-dropping-1980s|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="auto1"/> which, according to Beaubouef and Mason,<ref>{{cite journal|last1=Beaubouef|first1=Theresa|last2=Mason|first2=John|title=Why the high attrition rate for computer science students: some thoughts and observations|journal=ACM SIGCSE Bulletin|date=June 2005|volume=37|issue=2|pages=103–106|doi=10.1145/1083431.1083474|s2cid=207157501}}</ref> could be attributed to a lack of general interest in science and mathematics and also out of an apparent fear that programming will be subject to the same pressures as manufacturing and agriculture careers. For programmers, the [[U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics]] (BLS) Occupational Outlook originally predicted a growth for programmers of 12 percent from 2010 to 2020<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/computer-programmers.htm| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120915165836/http://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/computer-programmers.htm| archive-date=15 September 2012| title=Computer Programmers : Occupational Outlook Handbook : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics}}</ref> and thereafter a decline of -7 percent from 2016 to 2026, a further decline of -9 percent from 2019 to 2029, a decline of -10 percent from 2021 to 2031.<ref name="bls-ooh"/> and then a decline of -11 percent from 2022 to 2032.<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/computer-programmers.htm | title=Computer Programmers : Occupational Outlook Handbook|website= U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics }}</ref> Since computer programming can be done from anywhere in the world, companies sometimes hire programmers in [[996 working hour system|countries where wages are lower]].<ref name="bls-ooh"/> If domestic demand has increased, it is mainly to replace existing programmers who have retired or switched occupations.<ref name="auto"> {{Cite web |title=Software Developers, Quality Assurance Analysts, and Testers |url=https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/software-developers.htm |access-date=2025-01-16 |website=Bureau of Labor Statistics |language=en-us}} </ref> However, for software developers BLS projects current growth at 17%<ref name="auto"/> that is down from their prediction from 2019 to 2029 of a 22% increase in employment, from 1,469,200 to 1,785,200 jobs with a median base salary of $110,000 per year. This prediction is lower than the earlier 2010 to 2020 predicted increase of 30% for software developers.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/software-developers.htm|title=Software Developers, Quality Assurance Analysts, and Testers : Occupational Outlook Handbook : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics|website=www.bls.gov|access-date=29 July 2021|archive-date=14 May 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190514101520/https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/software-developers.htm|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/software-developers.htm|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20130901135809/http://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/software-developers.htm|archive-date = 1 September 2013|title = Software Developers : Occupational Outlook Handbook|website= U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics |date=July 18, 2012 }}</ref><ref name="Charette2013"/> Though the distinction is somewhat ambiguous, software developers engage in a wider array of aspects of application development and are generally higher skilled than programmers, making outsourcing less of a risk.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.rasmussen.edu/degrees/technology/blog/computer-programmer-vs-software-developer/ |first1=Ashley |last1=Brooks |date=2019 |title=Computer Programmer vs. Software Developer: Decoding the Differences|website=Rasmussen University |access-date=29 July 2021|archive-date=30 July 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210730055352/https://www.rasmussen.edu/degrees/technology/blog/computer-programmer-vs-software-developer/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://online.maryville.edu/blog/software-developer-vs-programmer/|title=Comparing Two Key Careers: Software Developer vs. Programmer|website=online.maryville.edu|date=31 July 2020|access-date=29 July 2021|archive-date=30 July 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210730055352/https://online.maryville.edu/blog/software-developer-vs-programmer/|url-status=live}}</ref> Another reason for the decline for programmers is their skills are being merged with other professions, such as developers, as employers increase the requirements for a position over time (i.e. [[Solution stack|Full-stack developer]]). Then there is the additional concern that recent advances in [[artificial intelligence]] might drastically<ref>{{cite news | last=Van Dam | first=Andrew | title=More than a quarter of computer-programming jobs just vanished. What happened? | newspaper=The Washington Post | date=2025-03-14 | url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/03/14/programming-jobs-lost-artificial-intelligence/ | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20250314101535/https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/03/14/programming-jobs-lost-artificial-intelligence/ | archive-date=2025-03-14 | url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web | last=Tan | first=Kwan Wei Kevin | title=Anthropic's CEO says that in 3 to 6 months, AI will be writing 90% of the code software developers were in charge of | website=Business Insider | date=2025-03-14 | url=https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-ceo-ai-90-percent-code-3-to-6-months-2025-3 }}</ref> impact the demand for future generations of Software professions.<ref>{{Cite web|date=2023-04-06|title=Software engineer jobs in danger due to ChatGPT-like tools? Here's what Google CEO Sundar Pichai has to say|url=https://www.businesstoday.in/technology/news/story/software-engineer-jobs-in-danger-due-to-chatgpt-like-tools-heres-what-google-ceo-sundar-pichai-has-to-say-376341-2023-04-06|access-date=2023-05-12|website=Business Today|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|date=2023-01-25|title=ChatGPT could make these jobs obsolete|url=https://nypost.com/2023/01/25/chat-gpt-could-make-these-jobs-obsolete/|access-date=2023-05-12|language=en-US}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Kay|first=Grace|title=Software engineers are panicking about being replaced by AI|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/software-engineers-tech-panicking-golden-age-over-chatgpt-ai-blind-2023-4|access-date=2023-05-12|website=Business Insider|language=en-US}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Fowler|first=Gary|title=Council Post: How Will ChatGPT Affect Jobs?|url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesbusinessdevelopmentcouncil/2023/03/16/how-will-chatgpt-affect-jobs/|access-date=2023-05-12|website=Forbes|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Ito|first=Aki|title=ChatGPT spells the end of coding as we know it|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/chatgpt-ai-technology-end-of-coding-software-developers-jobs-2023-4|access-date=2023-05-12|website=Business Insider|language=en-US}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|first1=Jacob |last1=Zinkula |first2=Aaron |last2=Mok |title=ChatGPT may be coming for our jobs. Here are the 10 roles that AI is most likely to replace.|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/chatgpt-jobs-at-risk-replacement-artificial-intelligence-ai-labor-trends-2023-02|access-date=2023-05-12|website=Business Insider|language=en-US}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Cohen|first=Mikaela|title=These are the tech jobs most threatened by ChatGPT and A.I.|url=https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/15/these-are-the-tech-jobs-most-threatened-by-chatgpt-and-ai.html|access-date=2023-05-12|website=CNBC|date=15 April 2023 |language=en}}</ref>
===Market changes in Japan===
[[File:GitHub Codespaces side by side terminal.webp|thumb|[[GitHub Codespaces]] is an [[online integrated development environment]] that requires minimal setup to get started programming.]]
Programming education involves the teaching and learning of [[computer programming]] concepts, [[Programming language|languages]], and [[Coding best practices|practices]]. It is offered through various formats, including formal [[Bachelor of Computer Science|computer science degree programs]], [[Vocational education|vocational training]], [[Career and technical education|career and technical education centers]], [[coding bootcamp]]s, [[libraries]],<ref>{{cite web | title=Hour of Code: How We Did It, What We Learned | Programming Librarian | url=https://programminglibrarian.org/articles/hour-code-how-we-did-it-what-we-learned }}</ref> [[List of online educational resources|online courses]], and [[Autodidacticism|self-directed learning]]. Educational initiatives often focus on [[Problem solving#Computer science|problem-solving]], [[computational thinking]], [[logical thinking]], and the development of [[Algorithm|algorithms]]. In [[Primary education|primary]] and [[secondary education]], programming is increasingly integrated into [[computer literacy]] curricula through initiatives such as [[Hour of Code]], [[Code Club]], [[Learn to Code]], and by getting [[computers in the classroom]].<ref>{{Cite web | title=Computer Science Club leads ‘Hour'Hour of Code’Code' activities {{!}} Fredonia.edu | url=https://www.fredonia.edu/news/articles/computer-science-club-leads-%E2%80%98hour-code%E2%80%99-activities | access-date=2025-08-11 | website=www.fredonia.edu}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | title=Computers in the Classroom | EBSCO Research Starters | url=https://www.ebsco.com/research-starters/computer-science/computers-classroom }}</ref> At the [[higher education]] level, programming instruction may include coursework in [[software engineering]], [[data structures]], [[debugging]], [[software design]], and specialized domains such as [[game development]], [[artificial intelligence]], [[cryptography]], or [[data science]]. Numerous platforms and resources like [[List of chatbots|AI chat bots]], [[List of educational software#Computer science|educational programming software]], and [[online integrated development environment]]s have expanded access to programming education.<ref>{{cite journal | last1=Ou | first1=Q. | last2=Liang | first2=W. | last3=He | first3=Z. | last4=Liu | first4=X. | last5=Yang | first5=R. | last6=Wu | first6=X. | title=Investigation and analysis of the current situation of programming education in primary and secondary schools | journal=Heliyon | date=2023 | volume=9 | issue=4 | pages=e15530 | doi=10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15530 | doi-access=free | pmid=37151627 | pmc=10161691 | bibcode=2023Heliy...915530O }}</ref><ref>{{cite web | title=GitHub educator: Our biggest mistake, and our opportunity | website=[[ZDNet]] | url=https://www.zdnet.com/education/github-educator-mistakes-opportunities/ }}</ref><ref>{{cite web | title=The best AI for coding in 2025 (Including a new winner - and what not to use) | website=[[ZDNet]] | url=https://www.zdnet.com/article/the-best-ai-for-coding-in-2025-including-a-new-winner-and-what-not-to-use/ }}</ref>
==See also==
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